Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1165.776996 1317.934164 1485.109330 1682.851801 1910.921555 2166.369114 2475.058191
2025-11-23 934.514069 1139.378594 1384.537046 1701.427226 2102.916650 2598.243699 3261.157096
2025-11-30 811.265312 1040.872025 1332.102665 1732.441655 2274.441823 2991.274307 4025.382265
2025-12-07 697.691244 930.944153 1240.421489 1686.868214 2323.982691 3215.143958 4582.160649
2025-12-14 610.702133 841.980018 1160.649422 1639.554085 2354.557706 3404.436917 5104.262491
2025-12-21 538.718764 763.899560 1084.442371 1583.624705 2359.062152 3547.826084 5568.152690
2025-12-28 509.188760 742.406225 1085.326295 1638.782593 2533.755171 3967.551754 6529.604970
2026-01-04 476.328252 711.867967 1068.353914 1662.473980 2658.796491 4320.561153 7430.899623
2026-01-11 444.790942 679.814319 1045.006722 1671.836554 2758.982884 4641.652531 8322.905340
2026-01-18 416.616929 650.115549 1021.921805 1677.936296 2852.339730 4959.986145 9257.596049
2026-01-25 398.751701 635.161170 1020.858339 1720.390311 3013.297804 5419.139023 10540.098565
2026-02-01 380.076455 617.036943 1012.447301 1748.286152 3149.712035 5848.463685 11833.899419
2026-02-08 360.992996 597.112900 999.976362 1769.063764 3278.343272 6286.798862 13243.500925
2026-02-15 343.253382 578.065512 987.378480 1788.364893 3406.885408 6744.440579 14788.798470
2026-02-22 329.148584 564.125899 982.418420 1821.187068 3565.905575 7287.710488 16641.142125
2026-03-01 305.233200 530.570555 938.550103 1772.967255 3550.125772 7448.009117 17588.795539
2026-03-08 283.365496 499.108571 895.971698 1722.916050 3524.021594 7580.494422 18490.440532
2026-03-15 262.350391 467.730048 851.090561 1663.765058 3470.940372 7642.978367 19219.826058
2026-03-22 256.918854 465.372857 862.003681 1722.100016 3688.100888 8378.934693 21953.813437
2026-03-29 248.048159 455.701861 857.634838 1747.160517 3831.589239 8956.301275 24369.536763
2026-04-05 238.191230 443.369300 846.885355 1757.064882 3940.242642 9461.917280 26690.468816
2026-04-12 228.680798 431.043059 835.148238 1763.517826 4041.213301 9963.093990 29119.322042
2026-04-19 223.438241 426.929369 840.089216 1808.434923 4243.818371 10771.452011 32752.810062